Polling Day: Sabtu, 1 Ogos 2026 · Early Voting: Rabu, 29 Julai 2026.
Real OpenStreetMap Leaflet GIS Engine displaying spatial seat boundaries and candidate relocation vectors across Negeri Sembilan.
Cross-disciplinary synthesis mapping Demographics, Economic Thermodynamics, Adat Perpatih Substrate, and Agentic Split Friction to Negeri Sembilan.
Incumbent: Mohd Faizal (BN)
2023 Majority: 1,461 votes
PRN16 Projection: TOSS UP
"⚠️ EPICENTER RISK: MB Aminuddin Harun (PH-PKR) moved from Sikamat vs BN. High volatility due to seat relocation vs structural Malay majority (~64%)."
BN 14-16 + PN 4-6 = 19-22 seats. Most likely outcome per Ilham Centre (n=1,002, Jul 18-30), Ong Kian Ming structural model, and sovereign synthesis. Malay-Muslim consolidation wave larger than Johor. Vote transfer efficiency between BN-PN supporters exceeding 70%. Government formed.
18-18 deadlock or 19-17 with fragmented majority. Bersatu holds 1-2 seats = kingmaker leverage. Palace intervention triggered. Requires post-election negotiation. Most likely if Bersatu wins Labu + another seat AND 3+ toss-ups break for PH.
PH 16-18 + Bersatu 2-3 = 19+. Requires Bersatu post-poll alignment with PH AND PH capturing 3-4 marginal Malay seats. Low probability — requires non-Malay turnout >72% AND Bersatu eating 12%+ of BN-PN Malay vote in marginals.